Investing By The Numbers, Part 2

By Chris Anderson, Ph.D.
November 30, 2006

What You Need To Know

In our last article, we descrived the four key parameters that any real estate investor needs to know to evaluate a project. Just as a reminder, they are:

1. Purchase Equity.
2. Annual Appreciation (%)
3. Annual Cashflow
4. Special Tax Situations

In our live workshop in NYC, we recently covered how you can sit at your desktop and get this information. For our projects, we provide this information to you but I believe it is really good to see one time how to actually do that and that it makes sense. Then, when you are looking at a property where information has been provided to you, then you can always go back and double check any piece that may not make sense. In late January early February, we will be conducting multi-city tours where you can come out and meet us live and we will teach this content. Please go to this page to tell us the large city that you live next to and give us a contact email if you would like to attend.

Calculating Cash On Cash Returns And Yearly Returns

One of the standard measures of many investments is what is called cash-on-cash returns. This is just a fancy word that says what % gain do I get for holding an investment. For example, let's say that you plunk down $20,000 in down payment and closing costs on a real estate investment and let's say in 2 years, you get back $65,000 after reselling with all expenses included; i.e., you have a $45,000 net profit. The cash on cash return for this is simply

COC(%) = 100%* 45000/20000 = 225%

One problem of this measure is that it does not take into account the time-value of money; that is, if I made that in 2 years versus 20 years, it makes a huge difference.

So suppose in this example we plunked down $20K, got a simple interest return the first year, and then reinvested that gain with the same interest. Now what interest rate would accomplish this? A little more complicated to calculate but the annual rate of return to produce this is just a little of 80%. To see this, you can do the following:

Year 0: $20,000
Year 1: $20000*(1+80.2%) = $36,055
Year 2: $36055*(1+80.2%) = $65,000

If you are still in the mindset of 2004/2005 that you can plunk down $5,000 on something and make $75,000 in 6 months by flipping, then I wish you the best of luck. This is just not realistic except for a few needles in the haystack. On the other hand, if you are comfortable with making 30-40% per year on your money over a 2-5 year time frame, then that is very realistic and can be done with low risk.

So when we evaluate potential opportunities, one of the first parameters that we are looking at is this yearly return and we like to see 30%+. As we will discuss next week, this is not the only factor to consider but it is certainly one of the top 3.

Hopefully you have enjoyed this topic. I want to encourage you that if you are serious about your investing and really want to kick start 2007, then you definitely want to read the extra info below about how changes at GetPreConstructionDeals.com can benefit you.

About the Author

Dr. Chris Anderson is the founder of one of the largest pre construction groups on the internet today and is referenced in many venues including the New York Times and USA Today. Get access to wholesale property investments today.

Contribution from PropertyVestors Preconstruction Purchase Partner

Sarah Barry is the founder of PropertyVestors (www.propertyvestors.com).  PropertyVestors is a successful real estate investment group that creates above-market returns at below-market risk. Access to PropertyVestors' three smart real estate strategies enables investors to achieve double to triple digit returns on their real estate investments.